Market Commentary and Fund Performance

The Portfolio Managers of Tokyo-based SPARX Asset Management Co., Ltd., sub-advisor to the Hennessy Japan Small Cap Fund, share their insights on the Japanese market and Fund performance.

December 2023
  • Tadahiro Fujimura
    Tadahiro Fujimura, CFA, CMA
    Portfolio Manager

Performance data quoted represents past performance; past performance does not guarantee future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance of the fund may be lower or higher than the performance quoted. Performance data current to the most recent month end, and standardized performance can be obtained by viewing the fact sheet or by clicking here.

Market Commentary and Fund Performance for November 2023

Early in the month, the Japanese stock market rose on the back of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting’s unchanged policy rate and lower U.S. long-term interest rates due to U.S. employment data being below market expectations.

The market peaked toward mid-month due to Japanese companies’ favorable earnings calls and waning expectations of an additional U.S. interest rate hike amid a lower-than-expected U.S. consumer price index (CPI). After a rally fueled by diminishing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and lower U.S. long-term interest rates, the yen’s appreciation, which temporarily advanced to JPY 146 to the U.S. dollar, weighed on the market, which turned downward. Nevertheless, the month ended above where it began. As a result, the Tokyo Stock Price Index rose by 8.0% month over month, and the benchmark for the Fund, the Russell/Nomura Small CapTM Index, rose by 6.81% over the same period. The Fund’s performance this month rose by 6.32% (HJSIX), underperforming its benchmark.

Positive contributors to the Fund’s performance this month included semiconductor production equipment manufacturer Towa Corporation; automotive stamping component and refrigerated vehicle manufacturer Topre Corporation; and employee benefit service contractor Benefit One Inc. Towa benefited from a considerable upward revision to earnings due to improved profitability in its mid-term earnings call. Topre’s upward revision to its full-year forecast in its mid-term earnings call stemmed from a recovery in automobile production and a weaker yen, fueling its share price gains. Benefit One’s share price rose after it announced a tender option bond (TOB) at a premium price.

Conversely, stocks with an adverse impact included hospital-related healthcare service provider Ship Healthcare Holdings, Inc.; Italian restaurant chain operator Saizeriya Co., Ltd.; and offshore civil engineering stalwart Penta-Ocean Construction Co., Ltd. Ship Healthcare’s share price dropped after it announced extraordinary losses in its Myanmar business. Saizeriya dipped, likely due to profit-taking in response to its rising share price and news of frog-contaminated food at its restaurants. Penta-Ocean Construction’s share price fell as a backlash to its previous rise and due to mid-term earnings falling short of market expectations.

Fund Activity

We did not make any new investments this month. We increased the portfolio’s weight mainly in undervalued domestic demand-related stocks and partially sold stocks that made gains.

Outlook for December 2023

The Japanese stock market has benefited from the calming of U.S. inflation and equities rose sharply in November. The TOPIX is approaching its highest level since the year began, and a sense of caution about high prices, it will likely lead to a short-term slowdown in price rising. The forex market also continues to be volatile due to speculation of a shift in U.S. monetary policy. While the yen’s appreciation risk depends on the Bank of Japan’s policies and trends in U.S. economic indicators, we think the current exchange rate stays at sufficiently weak, which would give less negative impact on exporters and it may positively effect domestic demand-driven companies. Furthermore, these firms with consumer-based sales are performing well due in part to a greater-than-expected inbound tourism effect. Combined with a capital investment recovery, it could drive robust corporate earnings underpinning higher share prices leading into the new fiscal year. We will not make significant changes to our investment strategy and would like to expand the Fund’s portfolio in undervalued stocks based on performance expectations for the next fiscal year and beyond. Moreover, we will also seek to identify highly undervalued emerging stocks with earnings growth potential over the medium to long term.

Click here for Fund Holdings.